Warriors vs. Magic odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, Feb. 19 predictions from model on 83-48 roll

Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors visit the Orlando Magic on Friday evening. The Warriors have won four of the last five games, improving to 16-13 on the season. The Magic are struggling overall, though Orlando (11-18) has two victories in its last three games. Draymond Green (ankle) is questionable for the Warriors, with James Wiseman (wrist) and Kevon Looney (ankle) ruled out. Evan Fournier (back) is probable for the Magic, with James Ennis (groin) listed as questionable and Aaron Gordon (ankle) ruled out.

Tip-off is at 7 p.m. ET in Orlando. William Hill Sportsbook lists Golden State as a 4.5-point road favorite, holding steady from the opener, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 225.5 in the latest Warriors vs. Magic odds. Before locking in any Magic vs. Warriors picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is also up more than $8,400 on top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it enters Week 9 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 83-48 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Magic. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Magic vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. Magic spread: Warriors -4.5
  • Warriors vs. Magic over-under: 225.5 points
  • Warriors vs. Magic money line: Warriors -185; Magic +165
  • GSW: The Warriors are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • ORL: The Magic are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games

Latest Odds:

Orlando Magic

Why the Warriors can cover

Curry is certainly the focal point of the Golden State offense, but the Warriors also rate well in myriad categories. Golden State is third in the NBA in assist rate (66.6 percent), and the Warriors are also above-average in ball security, committing a turnover on only 13.9 percent of possessions. Steve Kerr’s team is also above-average in shooting efficiency and free throw creation. Defensively, the Warriors are a top-five team in overall efficiency, giving up only 108.8 points per 100 possessions. 

Orlando is a bottom-tier offense virtually across the board, including the worst shooting metrics in the league, and Golden State is third in the NBA in shooting efficiency allowed. The Warriors also land in the top 10 in forced turnover rate (14.8 percent), blocked shots (5.4 per game) and points allowed in the paint (44.5 per game).

Why the Magic can cover

Orlando is led by All-Star contender Nikola Vucevic. The talented center is averaging 23.4 points and 11.6 rebounds per game, and he is the centerpiece of the offense for the Magic. Orlando is also quite good at protecting the ball, committing a turnover on only 13.6 percent of possessions. The Magic could generate free throw attempts at a high level also, with the Warriors entering this game as the third-worst team in the NBA at keeping opponents off the charity stripe. 

Defensively, the Magic are tremendous at protecting the glass, ranking second in the NBA in defensive rebound rate (75.7 percent) and first in the league in second-chance points allowed (10.8). Overall, Orlando has a huge advantage in the rebounding department, and that could help to boost its overall efficiency.

How to make Magic vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting both teams combine for 217 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Magic vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.

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