Clippers vs. Suns odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, April 28 predictions from model on 97-60 roll

The Phoenix Suns host the Los Angeles Clippers in a nationally televised matchup on Wednesday night. The Suns have the second-best record in the Western Conference at 43-18, with Los Angeles trying to chase them down at 43-20. Phoenix is 23-9 at home this season, and the Clippers are 19-12 on the road. Jae Crowder (ankle) and Dario Saric (ankle) are questionable to play for Phoenix. Kawhi Leonard (foot) is doubtful for Los Angeles, with Patrick Beverley (hand) and Serge Ibaka (back) ruled out.

Tip-off is at 10 p.m. ET in Phoenix. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Suns as four-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 220 in the latest Clippers vs. Suns odds. Before you make any Suns vs. Clippers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,400 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up over $1,400 on its top-rated picks this season and entered Week 19 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 97-60 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Clippers vs. Suns. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Suns vs. Clippers:

  • Clippers vs. Suns spread: Suns -4
  • Clippers vs. Suns over-under: 220 points
  • Clippers vs. Suns money line: Phoenix -175, Los Angeles +155
  • LAC: The Clippers are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • PHX: The Suns are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games

Featured Game | Phoenix Suns vs. Los Angeles Clippers

Why the Clippers can cover

Los Angeles is an elite offensive team, boosted by the best perimeter shooting profile in the NBA. The Clippers are No. 2 in overall offensive rating, scoring 1.17 points per possession, and they are No. 2 in true shooting percentage (59.9 percent). L.A. leads the NBA in 3-point shooting, burying 41.7 percent of its long-range attempts, and the Clippers are also No. 1 in free throw accuracy at 83.6 percent. The Clippers take care of the ball at a top-10 level, turning the ball over on only 13.3 percent of possessions, and that is a strong overall recipe for success. 

Los Angeles is also an excellent defensive team, keyed by the No. 3 defensive rebounding unit in the NBA. Phoenix is just 25th in offensive rebound rate, and the Clippers are a top-10 team in limiting opponent shooting efficiency this season. The Clippers also rank in the top-five in assists allowed (22.8 per game), and the Suns don’t get to the free throw regularly, ranking second-to-last in the NBA in attempts per game (18.4) at the charity stripe.

Why the Suns can cover

Phoenix is led by a trio of standout players in Devin Booker, Chris Paul and Deandre Ayton. Booker leads the team in scoring, averaging 25.5 points per game, and he is a three-level scorer with an important skill set. Paul leads the team in assists, averaging 8.7 per game, and he adds 16.1 points per game on strong efficiency. Ayton is averaging a double-double with 15.0 points and 10.7 rebounds per contest, and the former No. 1 overall pick is converting a blistering 68 percent of shots in April. 

Overall, Phoenix is a top-seven team on both ends of the floor, and the Suns match up well with Los Angeles. The Suns are a top-tier team in defending the 3-point arc, potentially slowing the Clippers’ No. 1 perimeter shooting. From there, Los Angeles is below-average in creating turnovers, forcing a giveaway on only 13.2 percent possessions, and that should allow Phoenix to have an edge in the possession battle.

How to make Suns vs. Clippers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 219 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Clippers vs. Suns? And which side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a roll on NBA picks.

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